{"id":27888,"date":"2014-09-23T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2014-09-23T04:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ashleydev.com\/2014\/09\/23\/all-may-not-be-lost-on-global-heating\/"},"modified":"2020-08-27T11:41:13","modified_gmt":"2020-08-27T15:41:13","slug":"all-may-not-be-lost-on-global-heating","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cna.ca\/fr\/2014\/09\/23\/all-may-not-be-lost-on-global-heating\/","title":{"rendered":"All may not be Lost on Global&nbsp;Heating"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>By John Stewart<\/b><br \/>\n<em>Director, Policy and Research<\/em><br \/>\n<em>Canadian Nuclear Association<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.un.org\/en\/ga\/\">UN\u2019s 69<sup>th<\/sup> General Assembly<\/a> opened today in New York. On the agenda is \u201cstemming the existential threat of climate change,\u201d along with a litany of other crises from Ebola to ISIS.<\/p>\n<p>I <a href=\"http:\/\/talknuclear.ca\/?s=poland\">commented<\/a> six months ago\u00a0that only a \u201cPoland moment\u201d \u2013 the arrival of real, widespread fear for our way of life \u2013 might get climate change recognized as an \u201cexistential threat.\u201d Let alone get it \u201cstemmed.\u201d I doubt that we are there yet.<\/p>\n<p>But as catastrophic as the <a href=\"http:\/\/talknuclear.ca\/?s=lovelock\">outlook<\/a> seems on carbon emissions,\u00a0I am not completely pessimistic. Governments do face up to, and act to mitigate, grave threats, even at times when doing so is costly and defies electoral arithmetic. The record of improving air and water quality in developed areas of the globe since the 1960s attests to this. So do many other international efforts to improve human health and security.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_3379\" style=\"width: 767px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3379\" class=\"wp-image-3379 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/talknuclear.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/fig-13.png\" alt=\"While it takes time, our governments have shown they can act to address environmental challenges. Source: http:\/\/www.ec.gc.ca\/air\/default.asp?lang=En&amp;n=8ABC14B4-1&amp;offset=2&amp;toc=show\" width=\"757\" height=\"665\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3379\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">While it takes time, our governments have shown they can act to address environmental challenges. Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ec.gc.ca\/air\/default.asp?lang=En&amp;n=8ABC14B4-1&amp;offset=2&amp;toc=show\">Environment Canada<\/a>.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>How hopeful can we dare to be that a child born today will <em>not<\/em> witness hundreds of millions of people being displaced by rising seas and desertification due to climate change? Or at least, that he or she will live to see a substantial turnaround of this process?<\/p>\n<p>Here are what I see as the negatives that support a pessimistic view:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Lack of action by major national governments so far<\/strong> \u2013 except for grasping at fake \u201csolutions\u201d that are politically expedient (such as farm subsidies dressed up as \u201cbiofuels\u201d), are subsidy-based and therefore inefficient and unsustainable (much wind and solar). All of which create new vested interests faster than they decarbonize our lifestyles. Slightly less bad is watching government jump into solutions that may work out, but are too far down the road to be useful in the near-term climate battle (such as <a href=\"http:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/issues\/beautiful-data\/stewart\/\">technology development funds<\/a>).<\/li>\n<li><strong>A global policymaking environment of crises upon crises<\/strong> \u2013 to take just a few examples: for Europeans, the Eurozone economic crisis followed by Ukraine; for Arabs, the Arab Spring followed by Egypt and Syria; for Americans, financial crisis followed by politico-fiscal paralysis, military withdrawals, and now a new war.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The long financial crisis and sluggish world economy <\/strong>\u2013 putting a continuing drag on governments\u2019 fiscal capacity, and also slowing the rate at which infrastructure can be rebuilt on lower-carbon technologies.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>On the other hand, here are some major positives, raising hope that something can be done:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Real concern at the top<\/strong> \u2013 the UN Secretary-General, the US President, and many other top political, business and intellectual leaders appear to recognize the threat posed by climate change.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Steps forward by smaller players <\/strong>\u2013 large companies, industry associations and sub-national governments have been willing to be <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sustainableprosperity.ca\/article3685\">early movers<\/a>, and some of those moves seem to have worked well.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Leadership in the high-growth regions<\/strong> \u2013 while dense emerging markets like China and India may remain far behind the West in many aspects of environmental quality, their high rates of infrastructure investment give them once-in-a-century opportunities to build lower-carbon systems in electric power, transportation and urban design. In fits and starts, they are seizing it.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The ecosphere will benefit if high-growth countries make good choices (as China does when it invests in fifty or seventy nuclear power plants instead of coal-fired units), and stable economies such as ours continue to rely on nuclear.<\/p>\n<p>Weighing the scales, my own view is that the odds that we can still act to mitigate climate change are better than bleak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By John Stewart Director, Policy and Research Canadian Nuclear Association The UN\u2019s 69th General Assembly opened today in New York. On the agenda is \u201cstemming the existential threat of climate change,\u201d along with a litany of other crises from Ebola to ISIS. I commented six months ago\u00a0that only a \u201cPoland moment\u201d \u2013 the arrival of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[537],"tags":[],"topic":[],"class_list":["post-27888","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-talknuclear"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>All may not be Lost on Global Heating - Association nucl\u00e9aire canadienne<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cna.ca\/fr\/2014\/09\/23\/all-may-not-be-lost-on-global-heating\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"All may not be Lost on Global Heating - Association nucl\u00e9aire canadienne\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By John Stewart Director, Policy and Research Canadian Nuclear Association The UN\u2019s 69th General Assembly opened today in New York. 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